Presidential Tracking Poll: Bush-Kerry

Presidential Tracking Poll: Bush-Kerry
 
Updated Daily by Noon Eastern Election 2004

Bush 49.0%
Kerry 45.4%
Other 2.1%
Not Sure 3.7%
RasmussenReports.com
 


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      Sunday October 03, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows President George W. Bush with 49% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 45%.

These results are based upon a survey of 3,000 Likely Voters conducted Thursday night, Friday night, and Saturday afternoon. As a result, just over two-thirds of the interviews were conducted following Thursday night\'s Presidential Debate.

Interviews conducted on Friday and Saturday show Kerry with a one-point bounce so far since the debate. However, in post-debate interviews, Bush still leads 49% to 46%.

The debates did little to change voter perceptions of the candidates\' political ideology. However, following the debate, there was an increase in the number who say finishing the mission in Iraq is more important than getting troops home as soon as possible.

Six percent (6%)% of voters say they changed their minds following the debate. This includes 3% who are now voting for Kerry, 2% for Bush, and 1% who are now undecided.

A separate survey found Republican challenger John Thune with a narrow lead over Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle in South Dakota.    

 


The Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections now show the President ahead 213-169. Rasmussen Reports has recently released state election polls for Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Georgia, Indiana, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, West Virginia, Washington, Virginia, and Wisconsin. Additional state election polls will be released at 5:00 p.m. Eastern today. The Electoral College projection will be updated if appropriate.

Rasmussen Reports Premium Members receive daily tracking updates for Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. They also receive weekly updates for 15 other states plus other supplemental information. A full year subscription is available for just $95.

Supplemental data is available for

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Fifty-four percent (54%) of Americans favor leaving U.S. soldiers in Iraq until that country\'s political situation is stabilized. Only 29% think we can win the War on Terror without first achieving a stable Iraq. A separate survey found that 52% of voters believe the War with Iraq is part of the broader War on Terror.

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The national telephone survey of 3,000 Likely voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports over the past three nights. Margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

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  Updated Daily by Noon Eastern Election 2004
 
Date Bush Kerry
Today 49.0 45.4
Oct 2 48.6 45.6
Oct 1 48.7 45.3
Sept 30 48.5 46.1
Sept 29 49.1 45.3
Sept 28 47.9 46.3
Sept 27 47.8 46.1
Sept 26 47.2 46.5
Sept 25 47.9 46.3

Looks like Kerry needs more than one debate to close this election.

If Bush has a good showing on the next two Kerry might be in bigger trouble than I thought.

By the way, I\'m a firm believer that polls in most cases don\'t mean much (especially this year) but it might be interesting to discuss.

Here\'s an article on the state of Ohio.

Thought it might be interesting since Ohio is always a good indication of the general public\'s thought.

Originally posted by Phil

Thought it might be interesting since Ohio is always a good indication of the general public\'s thought.

why is that?

Everything is within the margin of error and frankly I don\'t put much faith in polls.  Uplifting read for Bush supporters though.

Originally posted by Halberto
why is that?

You\'ve never heard that?  In many fashions, for instance a lot of products are first brought to this state for test, to see how the people react then they open them other places.

My only worry is the young vote, I know alot of young voters will turn out this year, and it could do it in for Bush, I\'d hate to see it, with so many of these young voters going to vote for Michael Moore, I mean Kerry.

What\'s the problem with that?  America has been pushing young citizens to vote for years, and now you see it as a problem?  Some people can\'t be satisfied.

a lot of people (young voters) vote how their parents guide them (tell them) to


like mikej