I wouldn\'t be too sure about that. VHS was released in 76 and was the industry standard a few years later after Beta was defeated. Then DVD was released in around, what, 95? Didn\'t become standard until a couple years later? I remember having a DVD player in 99 and my general rule of thumb is that stuff isn\'t in the mainstream until before my parents buy something (they\'re a bit slow ) That was 20 years of glory VHS had. And now DVD has had almost 10 years in which it was the standard and I feel it still won\'t be fully replaced for a couple years, when people start to see the need to buy it. Most people still have SDTVs and an HD format would be pretty much pointless. I know my 13\'\' Sylvania won\'t make blu-ray\'s look much better than DVDs. Anyone have the figures of how many have HDTVs?
How many own HDTV\'s isn\'t even really the problem. The problem is convincing people they need HD DVD or Blu Ray. Right now, there are simply way to many variables to get a really good picture when it comes down to it. You need room lighting, proper viewing distance, a good TV, great calibration and the list goes on and on. The average person just isn\'t going to see enough difference on the average setup, to warrant investing the money into HD formats. The only one HD discs of any sort become mainstream is when the players reach DVD player prices and WAL-MART starts primarly pushing one format and slowly cuts down on stocking DVDs.
And Clips brings up another point, one I\'ve said time and time again. The whole video upgrade isn\'t what sold DVD, trust me, if you look at a lot of launch DVD\'s they were not much better than a VHS. It was the no rewind, no losing clarity over time, extra features and other things that sold DVD to the mass public.