July 2002.

I think thats taking the micky when its been released in Jap for ages, then Americans get a English speaking version of the game and we have to wait 6 months for it.
Also not many good games from now until then.
State of Emergency and Wipeout Fusion are released in Feb but other than that theres not much else.
Although a lot of first of the series games coming out which is always a good sign, prehaps some of these may be hits.
EDIT - Forgot to mention MGS 2 which everyone else has had for ages, thats March.