Sorry for the late reply. It took a week for me to recover from finals.
No, SK and NK are still technically at war. Who has refused to sign a peace treaty with SK? Yes I think you know.
I never said the South and North were not technically at war. The US is also a signatory of the armistice treaty. This is why the DPRK is so desperately seeking a written non-aggression pact from the United States.
Those 37,000 US troops would be but a speed bump if NK invaded SK. NK also has thousands of artillery pieces right on the other side of DMZ that can hit the capital of SK with impunity. I think you are mistaken about who threatens who more...
I addressed the military issue with the excerpt from Kang. The first step to correct policymaking regarding the Korean peninsula is to realize that the rest of the world poses a much greter threat to North Korea that the North does to the world.
You know I would be in favor of the US leaving SK all together and letting the NK invade. In a recent poll most young SK would be in favor of this - lets see how much they like starving, no freedoms and no protection.
I am well aware of that poll. Conversely, however, all Koreans (both young and old) responded with alarm when the US announced it would reduce the number of troops in South Korea. This implies that despite their ostensible animosity to the US, most Koreans realize the importance of the US presence.
You\'d be a moron to believe that Koreans want North Korea to invade. Their resentment toward the US is complicated:
1) The US base is right in the middle of Seoul, hindering residential and business development. Imagine how pissed the American public would be if there was a permanent French base in Washington.
2) US troops have committed certain acts, such as the brutal murder of a Korean prostitute and the acquittal of the Marines who crushed two South Korean schoolgirls, that have reinforced Korean perception of US arrogance and disrespect.
3) Koreans look with disfavor at the social consequences of housing one of the largest US bases in Asia. Mixed children who have no job prospects and the scores of brothels are unfortunate daily reminders.
4) Most South Koreans now see North Korea as a younger brother that needs help rather than as a deadly enemy. This is due to the dramatic increase in inter-Korean events, such as the establishing of phone lines, the joint Kaesong venture, connecting of the railroads across the DMZ, and the numerous South Koreans visiting the North. A recent poll notes that 77 percent of the population supports diplomatic means to the nuclear issue and 84 percent approve of North-South economic cooperation. Against this backdrop, South Koreans fear that Bush\'s hawkish stance will unravel the good relations that they have built up with the North. It is no surprise then that your poll shows an overwhelming support for the North. Again, Bush\'s adamant unilateralism reinforces Korean perception of the US as a country that is indifferent to the wishes of its allies.
Like I said, Korean feelings toward the US are complicated. Although many are resentful, there are also those who are grateful for what the US has done. This gratitude is especially visible in the older generation, which sees the US as the staunch ally that saved the South in the Korean War and warded off China and Russia during the Cold War. However, as the national alarm over the troop reductions demonstrate, young South Koreans also realize the importance of the US presence. Think rationally, Giga. No sane person would "like starving, no freedoms and no protection."
I guess refusing to sign a peace treaty with SK, developing nukes, and firing test missles over Japan doesn\'t warrant them as being labeled as a threat in your eyes.
Realize, Giga, that I never said the North was not a threat. I merely pointed out that current US rhetoric reinforces the North\'s fear of the US.
Last time I looked NK and China were pretty close diplomatically.
The only reason that China currently supports the North is to avoid regime implosion, which would have devastating consequences in the region. This is a completely different scenario from a war. China has repeatedly told North Korea that it would not give "unqualified support" if the North becomes embroiled in a conflict with the US.
If that is the case Kim Jong Il should take a hint.
So... you\'re asking a dictator to voluntarily give up his power?
Have fun. Let us bring the troops back home and let you South Koreans deal with Kim Jong Il since you think the US is a greater threat to SK than he is. There is nothing in SK the US has an interest in anyway since the Cold War ended. It would be another Vietnam circa 1975 with NK immediately invading and overrunning SK. You really think Kim Jong Il would want to reunify without him being in complete control? That is naive.
Is it your speciality to put words in my mouth? When did I ever say that the US poses a greater threat to SK than Kim? It is foolish to compare the Korean crisis to Vietnam. Like the Kang excerpt demonstrates, the South has a formidable army to match the North\'s, even without US support. No one disputes that South Korea will win in the advent of a second Korean War. This is why the North has been deterred from invasion for the past 50 years.
There is nothing in SK the US has an interest in? Bring yourself up to the times, Giga. Pulling out from the South means that the US will lose influence in one of the most dynamic economic zones in the world - Asia. It would also cast a deep shadow over the necessity of the troops in Okinawa . Why does the US need these troops? To counter the regional influence of that other thorn in US foreign policy - China. Not to mention that they are a significant deterrent against hawkish Chinese policies toward Taiwan. In short, Asia will be the next hotzone of US foreign policy in the coming decades. The US would be wise to maximize its infuence in the region.
The only provokations are coming from North Korea - resuming uranium enrichment, massive military build up, trying to use nuclear power to blackmail the west, etc.
Read my previous post again. I fear that you missed my entire point.
We have a country just to the south of Florida that has a dictator we don\'t like either, yet for the past 35 years or so we have made no physical attempt to remove him from power and with the exception of the Bay of Pigs (which was more Cuban ex patriots than US forces) we have not attempted to invade Cuba. Compared to NK that would be walk in the park.
Obviously Cuba no longer poses a threat to the US. Like I mentioned in my reply to Titan, Kim has seen Cuba and knows that as long as he does not cross the red line - visibly passing nuclear technology to terrorists or invading the South - he will be safe from US attack.